S&P500 (ES) Tries Holding Last Week’s 2022 Low

The S&P500 (ES) is trying to hold last week’s fresh 2022 low after having given up all of last week’s first half gains. Although ES appears vulnerable to following the Nasdaq100 (NQ) in forming a fresh 2022 low, odds are rising for a multi-week bounce, where any break above downtrend resistance (on the daily chart) will dramatically increase the likelihood for a retest of the psychologically key 4k whole figure level sometime before month end…

Raw Sugar (SB) Weekly MACD Trying to Positively Cross

Raw Sugar (SB) gained almost 3% yesterday, adding to Tuesday’s bounce off just above the 2022 low and closing near the August high. Any weekly close above downtrend/descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart) dramatically increases the likelihood for SB to complete by year end, the major consolidation since last October (as seen more easily on a monthly chart on tradingview.com)…

GBPAUD Weekly Chart Descending Wedge Near Complete

The GBPAUD has given up roughly 150 pips from yesterday’s high, getting rejected at downchannel resistance (on the daily chart). Although the GBPAUD appears at elevated risk of sliding back before the weekend to the psychologically key 1.70 whole figure level, and at moderate odds of testing upchannel support (on the 4hr chart) in the same period, the GBPAUD’s descending wedge (on the weekly chart) is nearing completion and unlikely to form a fresh 2022 low…