Silver (SI) Retests 38.2% Fib Retrace of Mar-Sep Slide

Silver (SI) appears to have found its floor in the consolidation that began last week, refusing to slide much below the 38.2% Fib retrace of the March to September slide. With SI having formed a major bottom within the consolidation since August 2020 (as can be seen more easily on a monthly chart on tradingview.com), SI is likely to regain last week’s high before month end, with odds now moderate for a test of the May high before year end…

S&P500 (ES) Retests Key 4K Level

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating for a 3rd straight day after Thursday’s massive 5% plus bounce, hesitating as it bumps up against the 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide and the psychologically key 4k whole figure level. Odds are now moderately high for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by month end…

Raw Sugar (SB) Testing 38.2% Fib Retrace of Apr-Sep Consolidation

Raw Sugar (SB) formed a second straight daily Hammer yesterday, and appears poised to test downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by next week sometime. Yesterday’s close just shy of the 38.2% Fib retrace of the April to September slide dramatically increases the odds of SB breaking above the October high and the psychologically key 0.19 whole figure level by mid November…

EURUSD Testing Weekly Chart Downchannel Resistance

The EURUSD is consolidating after the strong bounce from the 2022 low (in September), and is at risk of seeing more healthy profittaking today as it bumps up against downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart). Regardless of any deeper pullback today, the EURUSD is progressing at forming a major bottom, with a high likelihood of a weekly close above the psychologically key 1.00 whole figure level…