Corn (ZC) is trying to firm to start the week but remains vulnerable to more downside this week after breaking last Thursday below triangle support (on the weekly chart). Odds are roughly equal for ZC to bounce off downtrend support (on the 4hr chart) before month end as it is for a slide to a fresh 2023 low in the same period…
Corn (ZC) edged higher Friday ahead of today’s US Presidents Day holiday, but is about to see a volatility spike with the triangle (on the weekly chart) near complete. Any break above the January high would dramatically increase odds of testing the psychologically key 700 whole figure level and November high in the few days after…
Soybean (ZS) gained for a 3rd straight day Friday following the WASDE Thursday. When ZS reopens in the shortened session (with today being Dr Martin Luther King Jr Day), ZS will likely make an attempt at testing the January high…
Wheat (ZW) has been consolidating for 2 weeks near the 61.8% Fib retrace of the September 2016 to March 2022 bull market (as can be seen on a monthly chart on tradingview.com), but remains moderately vulnerable to sliding back to the 2022 low before year end. ZW will need a weekly close above the psychologically key 800 whole figure level and to break above descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart) to neutralize the still somewhat bearish longer term momentum…
Soybean (ZS) is seeing healthy profittaking to start the week, triggered by Friday’s highly anticipated WASDE. Nevertheless, ZS appears to be consolidating comfortably above triangle resistance (on the weekly chart), reinforced with Friday’s close above the 38.2% Fib retrace of the slide from the June high to the July low…
Corn (ZC) is trying to firm to start the week, but remains vulnerable to sliding in the next day or so to the 38.2% Fib retrace of the May to July slide. Odds are now moderately high for ZC to retest ahead of the Xmas lull, the psychologically key 600 whole figure level…
Soybean (ZS) is looking wobbly to start the week, appearing vulnerable to sliding in the next few days towards the 38.2% Fib retrace of the slide from the June high to the July low. Odds are elevated for a retest of the psychologically key 1400 whole figure level this week, and for a slide back to triangle support (on the weekly chart) before the Xmas lull sets in…
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Corn (ZC) gapped up more than 2% to start the week, but is likely to consolidate these next few days as it bumps against the psychologically key 700 whole figure level and triangle resistance (on the weekly chart). With the rebound off upchannel support (on the weekly chart), odds are decent for a test of the same upchannel’s resistance, coinciding roughly with the 2022 high, before year end…
Wheat (ZW) is looking wobbly to start the week, remaining vulnerable to a deeper consolidation this week towards descending wedge support (on the 4hr chart). Odds are moderately high for a lower October low versus the September low. ZW does not appear likely for now though to form a fresh 2022 low before year end. The escalation in the Ukraine-Russia conflict deserves close monitoring…
