Coffee Daily Nov 16, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) slid a massive more than 5.5% yesterday, closing below descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart) after getting rejected at descending wedge resistance (on the daily chart). Although KC dipped yesterday slightly below the 61.8% Fib retrace of the June 2020 to February 2022 bull market (near 1.58), KC appears to have overshot to the downside with decent odds for a rebound above downtrend resistance (on the 4hr chart) by the weekend…

S&P500 (ES) Retests Key 4K Level

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating for a 3rd straight day after Thursday’s massive 5% plus bounce, hesitating as it bumps up against the 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide and the psychologically key 4k whole figure level. Odds are now moderately high for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by month end…

Coffee Daily Nov 15, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) slid more than 2% yesterday, but managed to close just above descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart) and descending wedge resistance (on the daily chart). Although KC has slid back below the 4hr chart downchannel resistance, odds remain decent for a decisive break in the next day or so above this resistance…

Soybean (ZS) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing

Soybean (ZS) is consolidating to start the week, hesitating for roughly 2 weeks now just below triangle resistance (on the weekly chart) and near the 50% Fib retrace of the slide from the June high to the July low. Odds are better for a retest of the 2022 high going into year end, than it is for a slide back to the July low during the same period, with the July low coinciding with the 50% Fib retrace of the May 2019 to June 2022 bull market (as can be seen on tradingview.com)…

Coffee Daily Nov 11, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) rebounded more than 3.5% yesterday, clawing back above descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart) after briefly sliding beneath it. Odds are elevated for a break today above the 4hr chart downchannel resistance and descending wedge resistance (on the daily chart)…

Coffee Daily Nov 10, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) slid nearly 1% yesterday, with its daily Gravestone closing at a fresh 2022 low at descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart). Nevertheless, odds are rising for a bounce back above the 4hr chart downchannel resistance and descending wedge resistance (on the daily chart) in the next day or so, which would coincide with a rebound off the weekly chart descending wedge resistance…