Raw Sugar (SB) Testing 38.2% Fib Retrace of Apr-Sep Consolidation

Raw Sugar (SB) formed a second straight daily Hammer yesterday, and appears poised to test downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by next week sometime. Yesterday’s close just shy of the 38.2% Fib retrace of the April to September slide dramatically increases the odds of SB breaking above the October high and the psychologically key 0.19 whole figure level by mid November…

GBPAUD Retests Key 1.80 Level

The GBPAUD is consolidating just above what is arguably downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart), forming a 3rd straight daily Doji/Hammer near the psychologically key 1.80 whole figure level. Although the GBPAUD remains slightly above the 61.8% Fib retrace of the February to September slide, after the powerful bounce off the September low, a healthy pullback to the 50% Fib sometime in November is moderately likely…

Cocoa (CC) Consolidating Near Weekly Chart Downtrend Resistance

Cocoa (CC) bounced almost 1% yesterday, closing just below descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart). A weekly close above the 38.2% Fib retrace of the February to September slide is moderately likely by month end, and would dramatically increase the likelihood of a retest in the week after, of the 50% Fib retrace of the February to September slide, coinciding with the psychologically key 2500 whole figure level…

GBPAUD Consolidating Just Below Key 1.80 Level

The GBPAUD is consolidating around what is arguably downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart), taking a breather after breaking Monday above the psychologically key 1.80 whole figure level. Although today’s sliding below an uptrend support (on the daily chart) increases odds for the healthy pullback to deepen, a break below the 50% Fib retrace of the February to September slide before month end does not appear likely…

Raw Sugar (SB) Weekly MACD Trying to Positively Cross

Raw Sugar (SB) gained almost 3% yesterday, adding to Tuesday’s bounce off just above the 2022 low and closing near the August high. Any weekly close above downtrend/descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart) dramatically increases the likelihood for SB to complete by year end, the major consolidation since last October (as seen more easily on a monthly chart on tradingview.com)…