S&P500 (ES) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating a 2 day bounce, and appears to be gearing up this week for a retest of the October high and the 50% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any reclaiming of the psychologically key 4k whole figure level or the 61.8% Fib on a weekly basis will dramatically increase odds for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) in the week after…

Raw Sugar (SB) Testing 38.2% Fib Retrace of Apr-Sep Consolidation

Raw Sugar (SB) formed a second straight daily Hammer yesterday, and appears poised to test downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by next week sometime. Yesterday’s close just shy of the 38.2% Fib retrace of the April to September slide dramatically increases the odds of SB breaking above the October high and the psychologically key 0.19 whole figure level by mid November…

GBPAUD Retests Key 1.80 Level

The GBPAUD is consolidating just above what is arguably downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart), forming a 3rd straight daily Doji/Hammer near the psychologically key 1.80 whole figure level. Although the GBPAUD remains slightly above the 61.8% Fib retrace of the February to September slide, after the powerful bounce off the September low, a healthy pullback to the 50% Fib sometime in November is moderately likely…

Cocoa (CC) Consolidating Near Weekly Chart Downtrend Resistance

Cocoa (CC) bounced almost 1% yesterday, closing just below descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart). A weekly close above the 38.2% Fib retrace of the February to September slide is moderately likely by month end, and would dramatically increase the likelihood of a retest in the week after, of the 50% Fib retrace of the February to September slide, coinciding with the psychologically key 2500 whole figure level…

GBPAUD Consolidating Just Below Key 1.80 Level

The GBPAUD is consolidating around what is arguably downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart), taking a breather after breaking Monday above the psychologically key 1.80 whole figure level. Although today’s sliding below an uptrend support (on the daily chart) increases odds for the healthy pullback to deepen, a break below the 50% Fib retrace of the February to September slide before month end does not appear likely…