Sugar Daily Dec 15, 2023

Raw sugar (SB) rebounded almost 1% yesterday with its daily Hammer finding support after edging just below the 61.8% Fib retrace of the 2023 bull market extension (near 21.5). Nevertheless, with SB having slid this week below the June low, and SB comfortably below the 23.6% Fib retrace of the bull market since May 2020 (as seen easier on a monthly continuous chart on tradingview.com) near 23, SB appears to be in the middle stages of a multi-month consolidation, with moderate odds that the major bull market has topped…

Sugar Daily Jun 20, 2023

Raw sugar (SB) tacked on another 1.5% plus Friday, closing just shy of the May and 2023 high. SB now appears to have a decent chance this US Juneteenth holiday shortened week of extending the upchannel (on the weekly chart) and forming a fresh 2023 high in April…

S&P500 (ES) Dead Cat Bounce Since Oct Low Tiring

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating yesterday’s 1.5% plus slide, showing fatigue in the Dead Cat Bounce off the October low as ES slides back below the psychologically key 4k whole figure level and 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any daily close below the 50% Fib and the uptrend support (on the daily chart) would suggest that the Dead Cat Bounce has peaked or is about to in the next few weeks…

S&P500 (ES) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating a 2 day bounce, and appears to be gearing up this week for a retest of the October high and the 50% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any reclaiming of the psychologically key 4k whole figure level or the 61.8% Fib on a weekly basis will dramatically increase odds for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) in the week after…