S&P500 (ES) Dead Cat Bounce Since Oct Low Tiring

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating yesterday’s 1.5% plus slide, showing fatigue in the Dead Cat Bounce off the October low as ES slides back below the psychologically key 4k whole figure level and 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any daily close below the 50% Fib and the uptrend support (on the daily chart) would suggest that the Dead Cat Bounce has peaked or is about to in the next few weeks…

S&P500 (ES) Retests Key 4K Level

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating for a 3rd straight day after Thursday’s massive 5% plus bounce, hesitating as it bumps up against the 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide and the psychologically key 4k whole figure level. Odds are now moderately high for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) by month end…

S&P500 (ES) Weekly MACD Positively Crossing

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating a 2 day bounce, and appears to be gearing up this week for a retest of the October high and the 50% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any reclaiming of the psychologically key 4k whole figure level or the 61.8% Fib on a weekly basis will dramatically increase odds for the current Dead Cat Bounce to reach downchannel resistance (on the weekly chart) in the week after…

S&P500 (ES) Tries Holding Last Week’s 2022 Low

The S&P500 (ES) is trying to hold last week’s fresh 2022 low after having given up all of last week’s first half gains. Although ES appears vulnerable to following the Nasdaq100 (NQ) in forming a fresh 2022 low, odds are rising for a multi-week bounce, where any break above downtrend resistance (on the daily chart) will dramatically increase the likelihood for a retest of the psychologically key 4k whole figure level sometime before month end…

S&P500 (ES) Attempts Another Dead Cat Bounce From Fresh 2022 Low

The S&P500 (ES) is bumping up against downchannel resistance (on the 4hr chart) but appears poised to surge higher as it has just broken what is arguably a descending wedge resistance (on the daily chart). ES is poised to extend the rebound off its fresh 2022 low formed yesterday, as it has now clawed back above the prior 2022 low (of June), and appears to be gearing up for another Dead Cat Bounce (but weaker in magnitude) relative to the late June-late August one…