Soybean (ZS) Tests 2022 Low

Soybean (ZS) is trying to firm to start the week, but remains vulnerable this week to extending the slide from the 2023 high to a fresh 2023 low. Although ZS is increasingly likely to see some short covering as it probes its 2022 low and tests downchannel support (on the 4hr chart), odds are elevated for a deeper slide by Q3 sometime to the 2021 low (formed that November) near the 61.8% Fib retrace of the May 2019 to June 2022 bull market (as can be seen more easily on a monthly chart on tradingview.com)…

S&P500 (ES) Continues Consolidating Just Below 2023 High

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating for a second straight day after Friday’s bounce to near the 2023 high, hovering just under the 50% Fib retrace of the slide from the January 2022 high to October 2022 low (as can be seen more easily on a weekly chart on tradingview.com). Any break this week above the April high will suggest an extension of the bounce off the October low to a fresh 2023 high…

Nasdaq100 (NQ) Continues 3 Week Consolidation Near 2023 High

Nasdaq100 (NQ) is struggling to extend a Bull Flag near the 2023 high (formed in April). With NQ just above the 38.2% Fib retrace of the bear market from the November 2021 high (as can be seen more easily on a weekly chart on tradingview.com), NQ is appearing increasingly unlikely to muster enough upward momentum in its rally off the October low to make a final push by May sometime to upchannel resistance (on the weekly chart)…

S&P500 (ES) Tries Forming 3rd Straight Weekly Doji Near 2023 High

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating after forming a fresh April high (Tuesday), beginning to struggle as it slips back beneath the 50% Fib retrace of the slide from the January 2022 high to October 2022 low (as can be seen more easily on a weekly chart on tradingview.com). Nevertheless, any regaining of the 2023 high formed February before month end will dramatically increase odds of testing the August high by May sometime…