S&P500 (ES) Dead Cat Bounce Since Oct Low Tiring

The S&P500 (ES) is consolidating yesterday’s 1.5% plus slide, showing fatigue in the Dead Cat Bounce off the October low as ES slides back below the psychologically key 4k whole figure level and 61.8% Fib retrace of the August to October slide. Any daily close below the 50% Fib and the uptrend support (on the daily chart) would suggest that the Dead Cat Bounce has peaked or is about to in the next few weeks…

Coffee Daily Nov 28, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) edged almost 1.5% higher Friday after the US Thanksgiving holiday, closing just above prior downchannel resistance (on the daily chart). KC appears to have formed a major bottom just above the psychologically key 1.50 whole figure level, reclaiming the descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart)…

Coffee Daily Nov 25, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) slid more than 1% Wednesday on healthy profittaking (with yesterday being the US Thanksgiving holiday), closing near prior downchannel resistance (on the daily chart). Nevertheless, KC appears to have formed a major bottom just above the psychologically key 1.50 whole figure level, and is trying to reclaim the descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart)…

Coffee Daily Nov 24, 2022

Arabica Coffee (KC) slid more than 1% yesterday on healthy profittaking, closing near prior downchannel resistance (on the daily chart). Nevertheless, KC appears to have formed a major bottom just above the psychologically key 1.50 whole figure level, and is trying to reclaim the descending wedge/downtrend support (on the weekly chart)…

Silver (SI) Retests 38.2% Fib Retrace of Mar-Sep Slide

Silver (SI) appears to have found its floor in the consolidation that began last week, refusing to slide much below the 38.2% Fib retrace of the March to September slide. With SI having formed a major bottom within the consolidation since August 2020 (as can be seen more easily on a monthly chart on tradingview.com), SI is likely to regain last week’s high before month end, with odds now moderate for a test of the May high before year end…