Coffee Daily May 18, 2023

Arabica Coffee (KC) edged lower yesterday but does not appear to have much more downside in its slide from the April high given yesterday’s daily Hammer. Regardless of Tuesday’s break above the 4hr chart downtrend resistance, odds are slightly higher for a test of the weekly chart upchannel support by sometime next week than it is for a reclaiming of the psychologically key 2 whole figure level and the May high before month end…

VIX (VX) Tests 2023 Low Ahead of US Retail Sales

The VIX (VX) is testing the 2023 low formed early May, with any further downside today dramatically increasing the odds of testing the daily chart downchannel support in the week after. Nevertheless, the VX is arguably in the advanced stages of a descending wedge (on the 4hr chart), with a short covering this week back to downchannel resistance (on the daily chart) and the psychologically key 20 whole figure level moderately likely…

Wheat (ZW) Trying to Bounce Off Weekly Chart Descending Wedge Support

Wheat (ZW) is trying to firm to start the week, but appears likely to consolidate another day or so after Friday’s rejection post-WASDE at triangle resistance (on the 4hr chart). Before bulls get excited, they’ll want to see ZW break above downchannel resistance (on the daily chart), which if successful would dramatically increase odds of breaking descending wedge resistance (on the weekly chart) in the week after…

Coffee Daily May 15, 2023

Arabica Coffee (KC) edged lower Friday, getting rejected at the 4hr chart downchannel resistance. KC is increasingly vulnerable to extending the slide since the April high. In the unlikely event that KC breaks above the May high today, odds would dramatically increase for a reclaiming of the psychologically key 2 whole figure level sometime in May…